Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:39:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 147.32
Unexplained QUAI: 10,396.3
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
26x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
10,543.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A • 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 10544 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A • 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
147.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
113.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
33.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
286.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:38:44 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
405.56 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:37:33 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
10,543.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:39:56 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
25,441.43 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:41:08 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
233.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:36:22 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
86.65 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:42:20 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
164.51 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:35:10 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
843.75 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:33:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
113.37 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:39:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
33.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:39:32 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002f0049e553a78fad2aeba5a4a64832b62e5ed939106e8064958cc3829b8592
113.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:39:32 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00400019d23abc9dff3c80d10df10f55f36acf04f66ad81a6791aefde559a7d5