Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:37:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
96% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 387.66
Unexplained QUAI: 17.9
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
405.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 406 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
381.66 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Net sender
Unknown type
198.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
94.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
Net sender
Unknown type
89.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 6 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
233.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:36:22 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
405.56 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:37:33 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
164.51 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:35:10 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
286.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:38:44 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
843.75 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:33:58 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
10,543.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:39:56 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
409.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:32:47 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
25,441.43 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:41:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
198.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
94.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:51 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001d006d23f1c9cd567577e943fc1f7427de902e9ac2749efb4a115b8fdbe1cf
89.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:51 P.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006e004056dba2b1fb3199fa7a6730419cdeb5f2c9c3f4edea446b4b6c88c1c6
198.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:21 P.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006700439749ba36552f05206ecfca5c2d66c364a956d3da1fca1c91fec2b78b
6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:21 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0073406455c0A9fc269BFDf96f9C85d56A886E52
Tx: 0x005300039e27d0a05fafad4cafcb419efecdf23c7ff8fecd4971d5bed1e52ca2