Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:24:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 274.32
Unexplained QUAI: 272.57
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.5x previous minute
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
546.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 547 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
Net sender
Unknown type
268.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
268.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 6 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
546.89 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:24:25 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
372.77 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:23:13 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate10 tx
1,131.53 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:22:02 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
180.29 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:25:38 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
631.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:20:50 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
179.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:26:49 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:19:38 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
146.11 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:28:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
268.32 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
268.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:10 P.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a001ca78150e2fa1881b3b04fee8684e2c5a83d053fa27737618745bbdef1
6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:10 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4
Tx: 0x0053001f96491d1957dc11dbf105d470e91bd229f84dd44f8a24aae4f6eedfaf