Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:17:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 617.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
4.9x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
210.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 210 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
477.2 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
Net sender
Unknown type
151.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
Net sender
Unknown type
110.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
96.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
Net sender
Unknown type
93.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
210.26 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:17:11 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
43.05 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:16:00 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
617.68 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:18:27 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
806.82 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:14:48 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
1,572.28 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:13:35 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:19:38 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
631.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:20:50 P.M.
-5 min
12 tx
693.37 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:12:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
151.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
28.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:49 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003a000486697ae985007216d38823618586c6fe29a88f4a7a863a7ae361773d
45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0049006c31a89b805a1c2a92333df77b944d698983dba4ba0609d16032aebc67
96.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0030001d838915a24ab6148bb4040e26cfe94671b02cc40415141276e48bbe4c
25.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e0026a2653e7885055158cddc6caede06e27bbcef40e23b78221ecfcd132b
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x003f000d1c06f2da96518d53745c685110d337020959c63848e91515da9df2ee
93.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:07 P.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00790006815e4582c68065ede9fd08162c634d1fb282f691d8acaea915d96ff2
110.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:07 P.M.
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001c00321aba7b6f2a4648292add72613b59f7768cba4d4bd6972e6740881ebe
151.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:07 P.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0008006a047ad575e7087e87005c1b491b491afc0d3e46b1cd017cd0d3bed75d
66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:07 P.M.
From: 0x003E504e3Aa7b9d4f621727F0d0b027eb638527e
To: 0x00735F0fa34E443ca47d6caF72A454e43Ff4d0e4
Tx: 0x0050005aae3f1d826846c6a8866cc9876d8401fe9f89df906e877bf59def37b8
