Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:10:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 214.37
Unexplained QUAI: 20,138.41
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
5.9x previous minute
95x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
4
44.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
20,352.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 20353 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
172.7 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
Net sender
Unknown type
148.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
33.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
33.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
24.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
20,352.78 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:10:01 P.M.
-1 min
54 tx
3,435.87 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:08:49 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
214.37 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:11:12 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
459.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:07:37 P.M.
+2 min
12 tx
693.37 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:12:24 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate55 tx
20,967.61 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:06:25 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
1,572.28 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:13:35 P.M.
-5 min
10 tx
862.53 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:05:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
148.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:10:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
33.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:10:01 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0004003ac3426f718ec1adfc5edb45b8fbcfa8408aff0121c307f61a3ce200a5
24.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:10:01 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0012000500f595af2999ec4f776485a1bb3337853399969d22eb11553b20b159
148.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:10:01 P.M.
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00280073f91de679079e3a8c8c9aa57c1c2c01d3ab053ba9b332551d1b0f1f79
8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:10:01 P.M.
From: 0x0025b4c366D7BfF0022B5D3caF15af3cD3589bb4
To: 0x00074289DD277C88664281B09111c78F8f8Ef13E
Tx: 0x0002001b2215f5b3d162582fc939cb5ecc1c7cf47dd7f8b0b7d529cb817e7b38