Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 862.53
Unexplained QUAI: 19,215.18
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
61x previous minute
23x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
20,077.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 20078 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
486.55 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
327.86 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
Net sender
Unknown type
163.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
Net sender
Unknown type
157.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
112.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
20,077.72 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
330.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:02:48 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
862.53 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:05:12 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
1,702.19 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:01:36 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate55 tx
20,967.61 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:06:25 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
14,186.16 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:00:24 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
459.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:07:37 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
371.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:59:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
163.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:29 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
78.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:29 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00580046e133b5d563db38d02c55e61ef4bb3c66b9c42bc6539d0f78488a83b7
163.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:29 P.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0008001d2200f22438f5b3b8e5ab355e4ff0acb6412395d29a39f4068cac0dbd
20.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00650001693e2ea8fb3d45d48f0bcf61b76d7a09899f6120d23d32576bee442b
52.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006e004bb7a559a047d95549cfad7421ef132169129ad0493e9a4503fac60512
157.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00120020bfef71841b117d7e573614acd5b6cd3f08864ebf25483507273ec3e8
112.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0076000aa6aef083c1e0a102a9b4ded08623790c4e23444f01ddd49c9b5d0e95
70.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0000003e3ed19b4d763525df90138b137cc7357ca8161c5e56280c5f390588ed
66.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004900338dfff6fe735d52f01099c5cc8c9393b6ae7cc02dfa5c06357a490318
92.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0017000299b60a76014ddb08b13109d1eabac801f4cbb708d37b69c0f96dd752
48.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003a006cec43323d892dbbada417415cf5640c6484beecb5ef3697103ece2189