Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 1:45:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 1:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 283.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
283.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 284 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
230.56 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
Net sender
Unknown type
101.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
97.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
52.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
308.88 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:44:48 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
581.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:43:36 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
283.78 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:46:00 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
6,614.58 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:47:11 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
230.52 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:42:25 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
963.16 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:48:28 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate5 tx
6,686.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:41:13 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
400.38 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:40:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
101.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:45:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
32.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:45:36 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00660041a353a1eca703ee077a45d1175ee999e9cc5816953d675a0da062d691
52.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:45:23 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002700694d5f0a07a9612b816ca8c6afe9f9add02b04e32e61ae678481963bd3
101.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:45:23 P.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0047005e450ff158c86811fafb777cd3ca9204729a94145c6c20f217a126245c
97.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:45:23 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0048007f68a6a3e366d6d96a85f12d11c4ff3457bdc2540879bd7cd437d1d536
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:45:23 P.M.
From: 0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x0063002f4f1bdea5e4e1b0973edb93a377535ea380056ea6ad7e8ad2398b8b82