Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 1:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 1:19:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 1:20:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 155.18
Unexplained QUAI: 2,477.3
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
2.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
3
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
2,632.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2632 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 1:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
119.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
119.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
19.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
19.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
16.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
9 tx
1,248.41 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:18:27 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
2,632.48 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:19:39 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
582.38 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:17:13 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:20:51 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
147.9 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:16:02 P.M.
+3 min
9 tx
1,017.72 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:22:03 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
521.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:14:50 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
457.6 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:23:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
119.53 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:19:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
16.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:19:32 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00570023761af294e4ad6b6e89b2269520f76f1db29f9273d83eeabf62b76475
119.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:19:32 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003100738582ed24e65ee367c9f98be4c24503fa516d3f50415ebf8296e82eea
19.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:19:32 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000a00350a02ae2f45e1ec8568c887c561c2877510baee0e4281603de411d8dc