Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 1:02:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 1:02:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 1:03:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
90% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 88,529.71
Unexplained QUAI: 9,978.22
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
3.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
7
70.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
98,507.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 98508 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 58
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 1:02:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
87,801.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Net receiver
Unknown type
87,801.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
550.09 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
Net sender
Unknown type
186.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
177.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 87,801.71 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,117.9 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:01:37 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
98,507.93 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:02:49 P.M.
-2 min
10 tx
31,370.06 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:00:26 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
24,726.77 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:04:01 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
177.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:59:14 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
110,210.68 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:05:13 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
253.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:58:02 P.M.
+4 min
10 tx
50,743.65 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:06:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
87,801.71 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:02:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
117.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:02:59 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0014000da5ad7751e996779fd57baf1321cdc5ae05b8915dc8605b06634cfe71
186.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:02:27 P.M.
From: 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006d0017f1d19bebc5225ad01c83919d78f8d00765e7ee0c87e2adf1d7b75e40
146.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:02:27 P.M.
From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f006a8131c3e34908b827c2ef99ab9ca874688fe146467e5836ca8730aa95
87,801.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:02:27 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Tx: 0x001c006f594da8e6eaf4dc543cb93f6c0c75c35c713c449f3a7dc9bae2776a3d
67.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:02:05 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002e005d82bd8ab707f4f522694b8894e0fa0f9c50c65492d3b73f7e229cbfcf
110.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:02:05 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006600406de351350007dfdb0eac95410fe8303589ce9762e8d02353ded2a838
99.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:02:05 P.M.
From: 0x002f67c884920007be348B4822f66D4Eaa13D83D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00150040bd3afe3b895ef7bf519e97e780b494ce969bdc13f8ad23ec88990c55
