Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:54:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 793.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
606.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 607 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
793.78 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
Net sender
Unknown type
204.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
Net sender
Unknown type
131.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
Net sender
Unknown type
128.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
117.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
606.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:54:27 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
10,378.37 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:53:16 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
673.76 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:52:04 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
720.42 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:55:39 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
387.23 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:50:52 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
454.32 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:56:50 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
438.03 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:49:40 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
253.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:58:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
204.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:54:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
103.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:54:47 P.M.
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006c00728ca8e8d9b2074d99b931dbd95cb0f4abf8fa8ed5805123c4285813f1
108.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:54:47 P.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0069000c6917712068f6e784165c3faeff706e1ca9de97bf5c5b60338224c045
128.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:54:47 P.M.
From: 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006e006114bc5d835dd0aa063b8f7b833d1d23aadc4b1fe466f14777eeb182e9
131.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:54:47 P.M.
From: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007e00329f8645c5aed572d67a3193222558f440f4f8c332a69c003a03b0596e
117.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:54:47 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0002000152ebc4d3966394ab0de5b1554b21ecfb77a009461b204edafee15d98
204.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:54:03 P.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002600531a26ebf5afa081b31ff6ecd9bf589e88991316d97aaf167f4ecb4f06