Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:48:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 773.36
Unexplained QUAI: 2,018.83
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
6.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
2,792.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 2792 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
292.12 QUAI across 3 visible rows
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
272.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
Net receiver
Unknown type
272.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
208.52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Net sender
Unknown type
155.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
2,792.19 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:48:29 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,214.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:47:12 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
1,563.77 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:46:01 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
438.03 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:49:40 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
912.15 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:44:49 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
387.23 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:50:52 P.M.
-4 min
8 tx
4,439.21 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:43:37 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
673.76 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:52:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
272.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:48:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
32.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:48:12 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001e001d96ca3d7c6e52db8ee50ccd65944d75aa6c75d2732b2e47fd6e955be8
104.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:48:12 P.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0026006661eed51c65c355f70723d495ad927544a7809af4495c6a28c960ef6e
155.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:48:12 P.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002b004a8e5bacae7c795248616fed2bacb11f86348e807eeeb82e5666208f52
112.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:48:12 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001d004b598ecbb5a8b6aafb730163bf2953cd60015d45eb38df0decc22bc719
96.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:48:12 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001f00259c64f6087ba5212d420f0143d14e7c531c0045bb4638eb66ca335e49
272.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:48:12 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
Tx: 0x003e00643cfbeb8cd0950f9c1b37b9c9097b21b73d0e612f728c5dbf9fe8b1f5
