Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:45:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,563.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
1,563.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568 • 0x006B4a39D47eD90bfd532A9FaDE409b6f62B4100.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1564 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568 • 0x006B4a39D47eD90bfd532A9FaDE409b6f62B4100.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006B4a39D47eD90bfd532A9FaDE409b6f62B4100
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
378.56 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
Net sender
Unknown type
225.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
912.15 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:44:49 P.M.
-1 min
8 tx
4,439.21 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:43:37 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,563.77 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:46:01 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,214.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:47:12 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
66.71 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:42:25 P.M.
+3 min
9 tx
2,792.19 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:48:29 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
450.69 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:41:14 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
791.72 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:40:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:45:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
To: 0x006B4a39D47eD90bfd532A9FaDE409b6f62B4100
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
225.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:45:46 P.M.
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004b004c96825fc2c20c913fc5257eb95c11341fcf28baae3e558e45c86aaf1a
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:45:42 P.M.
From: 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
To: 0x006B4a39D47eD90bfd532A9FaDE409b6f62B4100
Tx: 0x00430036201a332dbf0ddc492c8cd4cb1f87fd6922795e0c1ec33ac4ea72b4b1
73.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:45:42 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007e0005fb6920826e111afd4302be117818e963e974d49d95334c5c6056e6be
85.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:45:42 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001d0042cc294ebf143d348d965fb5159b0cc4049cc2a16a0ebc5a5e88085fc3
79.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:45:42 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e004a3f3f6708d184f29dae462f1511e37169ea0b7ce7a68683767a8f8fa0
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:45:42 P.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x0013003b03c46b6b46ab80dcdadf2f271192164094b7217d74900c8d32bbbbba