Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:17:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 862.09
Unexplained QUAI: 196,072.15
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
3.4x previous minute
228x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
196,934.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 196934 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
442.73 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
Net sender
Unknown type
291.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
291.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
Net sender
Unknown type
270.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
127.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
196,934.24 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:17:18 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
58,584.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:16:07 P.M.
-2 min
12 tx
1,661.26 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:14:55 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
862.09 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:18:30 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
44,320.99 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:13:42 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
1,581.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:19:42 P.M.
-4 min
8 tx
58,553.01 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:12:31 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
73,938.18 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:20:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
291.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
63.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:59 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x000100051a378fad3e33e13ee0299d36446630dcca8c64f93a0d0ff012e9447a
74.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d00709c0e34b4574b135d71c9dee22ef7a1173559d1eb92672b3ba1890ee9
64.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0079000dd8357f12e834007357344fe9ffc6380ab0e7fd530f159ce7c2282d25
270.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000b0032c29e1d617e637cf6d234f8b04b77d27718f7b7eabef932502ac49c69
97.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a00394e9d9648e28ce66f57cbbf7746cb61c83b23ab2cd1850d7848776ef0
291.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007e00093d558b1f18bee5b135e1fc1154e6eef9abd9b468a58523e1cd2fd750