Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:12:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 101,095.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
58,553.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006282d13428DEb6B8300887d12715200657657e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 58553 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006282d13428DEb6B8300887d12715200657657e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
58,047.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006282d13428DEb6B8300887d12715200657657e
Net receiver
Unknown type
58,047.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
42,363.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00563AC60A8dc551BA30bC5d79c8c6ce331094aD
Net receiver
Unknown type
42,363.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
564.87 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 100,411.25 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate16 tx
416,855.39 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:11:18 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
58,553.01 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:12:31 P.M.
-2 min
41 tx
6,173.52 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:10:05 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
44,320.99 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:13:42 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
133,190.14 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:08:53 P.M.
+3 min
12 tx
1,661.26 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:14:55 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
187.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:07:41 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
58,584.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:16:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
58,047.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006282d13428DEb6B8300887d12715200657657e
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
196.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:53 P.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006e005925d1bd654f93cad8a6d3c3fae9b03461dd37172f45a4938f568d7271
270.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:47 P.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003f0023c06deaac637d6c8c182987b27664608cbb62fa1d1e26e53f32f0bb72
104.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:47 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00000015d88b20d820a8a09cbed95116adf4033d1401fc2c3a9ee87d7519bd53
42,363.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:47 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00563AC60A8dc551BA30bC5d79c8c6ce331094aD
Tx: 0x002f002beb6f18f14eeeedf953190db5a92e03f8e9dfa647595163b1544aaf11
5.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0047005f78bc8ed33e10c6a4b6fcf97578b8e86dc69ad721fc6db9d20ea97151
58,047.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:08 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006282d13428DEb6B8300887d12715200657657e
Tx: 0x003f007442558086948e87f83c977fb517d78dcc2494c2f567333e8b9679a548
97.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001e000ee76919bae6d46e3b1318301dcb79b58b438bd49957fa38f0998f7e98
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
From: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x004700184f01b813dbfd299fa00d0d86bec13a183767dd70945efdd817d69e54
