Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:07:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 205.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
187.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 188 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
146 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
75.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
70.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
59.03 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
41.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
55 tx
1,230.87 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:06:30 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
187.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:07:41 P.M.
-2 min
15 tx
7,719.43 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:05:17 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
133,190.14 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:08:53 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
3,226.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:04:05 P.M.
+3 min
41 tx
6,173.52 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:10:05 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
3,018.25 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:02:53 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate16 tx
416,855.39 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:11:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
75.89 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:07:16 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
17.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:07:50 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0079005532cd0b6d56e09287a02213a991d25a62e685e93652ea9f5e68090f1f
75.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0004007cde91637370a14f99c55c25b7d019673593702235bf7d326bd300ba27
41.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x004e0037d11d8ffd9d1c32ffd0610f087be0a171115fe3b698dbed668745242c
70.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0047005d1f83d4001d48da7c25ee04bdebdeb77db7c08f85fa7b43c05e701e2b