Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 11:59:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
61% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 89.97
Unexplained QUAI: 56.97
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.6x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
146.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 147 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (39% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
89.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
47.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
42.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
146.95 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:59:19 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
94.29 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:58:08 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
92.28 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:56:56 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
247.2 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:00:30 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
67.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:55:45 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
173.17 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:01:41 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
262.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:54:34 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
3,018.25 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:02:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
47.48 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:59:53 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
42.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:59:53 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0036005c85a04535223da102c53cdac6b0694ed7859fe115b435f4828fc30b0d
47.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:59:53 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006d002701d37a0115e14a258f3e0e0208c8d0315d8e08bda9eb031d1641208d