Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 11:46:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,429.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.9x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
9,979.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 9980 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006AAB166030f894509a75ec8b13973Eff78F00d
Net sender
Unknown type
1,085 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003fef6cf0E79b43B337Aa8Ee024F5ed93A7E113
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,085 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
210.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
9,979.51 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:46:10 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
10,903.32 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:44:58 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
21,429.26 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:47:21 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
6,744.88 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:43:46 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
15,074.44 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:42:34 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
6,635.8 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:48:34 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
140.83 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:49:46 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate6 tx
33,297.81 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:41:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.15 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
97.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0030001f27bf0faec1f187cc65f1d6d0f83acb25607fe4906eb0a4cb9cc8642e
111.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006a00081020a228bfd41d2a781e9aa9fba7d2aeb58899b7638ea2adbc9d6f7b
77.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0024006b69e2cf61686664a1acf54324507efd68d8bd8b7fc06a30071dda4ae8
37.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007c003c6f836c46e173919d161c570366fdd0c18a36f7a79e1c68cb33108d3a
21.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004700466c3fc95733042e990d299ad6c28f3a98e53043d7af4adc19b62468de
1,085 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
From: 0x006AAB166030f894509a75ec8b13973Eff78F00d
To: 0x003fef6cf0E79b43B337Aa8Ee024F5ed93A7E113
Tx: 0x000e007fd0d3f87e4873bbb1f7055b35b6c876d296c3ee4af74d757a8a508b47
19,999.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0000002fc3acfae9787dd24fecab4c04b904662481f3e6dea4d1e1407c196e0f