Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 11:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 11:43:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 11:44:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
69% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,682.06
Unexplained QUAI: 2,062.81
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
6,744.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4 • 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 6745 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4 • 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 11:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (31% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
Net sender
Unknown type
4,452.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,452.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.91 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
112.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
15,074.44 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:42:34 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
6,744.88 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:43:46 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate6 tx
33,297.81 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:41:22 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
10,903.32 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:44:58 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
4,934.1 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:40:10 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
9,979.51 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:46:10 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
4,797.71 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:38:59 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
21,429.26 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:47:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,452.87 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:43:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
112.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:43:56 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00040034f4c59a0199ac18e7ba1d2bff8f189b763e9150946bd214bf1374408f
82.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:43:56 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00060051637b846f1e30802ec4593c2801b9ce87e61bfa332d4bb1f5108d1597
34.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:43:56 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004300366db568199b89f72f8848b3cb91d6ae9c87e3624ff53a7a56a429ac85
4,452.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:43:56 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
Tx: 0x0038003ff03041fc23d034a5a5d96a6d70f5de48bdb74d6c28e783c7e0b41b9d