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Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 11:41:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 11:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 36,995.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
6.7x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
33,297.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 33298 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
Net sender
Unknown type
16,858 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,103.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,558.13 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.46 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
3,827.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:59 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
Tx: 0x004f002ad1874870925faf3ffba88005d42b7ba6b9a3748dabba6413792d05a1
18.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:37 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0037003a04a046c298e5cac67d869e6adb4220f02ebd5d0e9ff5a6ea3eca66c8
90.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:37 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002a0004c6e65fd019707e444cf2dd962a483614dc3bddede3691438254bc3e3
3,368.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:37 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
Tx: 0x003a0006b15ea9584bca5cfee8babaca1426aa0c4706a957cde3f0cfedbffd3a
29.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f00235be5621844e73d4fa11d55567964d6734dec4f2136ebb0910abea797
4,558.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Tx: 0x001600444e18e05c33fe4cf04951cce2b5b19f280cf764b17d921bd78b966043
19,998.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003300283cd3f93f44ee3cd8cc1667ece387b0ee9b14ee03d8d2644b775a0ff4
Open txWallet profile
5,103.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:03 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
Tx: 0x0006007accc68966a8e995c2620f72dc78fa37232a7592866176c821a5d0101d