Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 11:41:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 11:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 36,995.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
6.7x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
33,297.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 33298 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
Net sender
Unknown type
16,858 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,103.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,558.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.46 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
33,297.81 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:41:22 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
4,934.1 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:40:10 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
4,797.71 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:38:59 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
15,074.44 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:42:34 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
20,080.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:37:47 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
6,744.88 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:43:46 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
62,195 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:36:36 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
10,903.32 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:44:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
3,827.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:59 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
Tx: 0x004f002ad1874870925faf3ffba88005d42b7ba6b9a3748dabba6413792d05a1
18.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:37 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0037003a04a046c298e5cac67d869e6adb4220f02ebd5d0e9ff5a6ea3eca66c8
90.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:37 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002a0004c6e65fd019707e444cf2dd962a483614dc3bddede3691438254bc3e3
3,368.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:37 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
Tx: 0x003a0006b15ea9584bca5cfee8babaca1426aa0c4706a957cde3f0cfedbffd3a
29.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f00235be5621844e73d4fa11d55567964d6734dec4f2136ebb0910abea797
4,558.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Tx: 0x001600444e18e05c33fe4cf04951cce2b5b19f280cf764b17d921bd78b966043
19,998.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003300283cd3f93f44ee3cd8cc1667ece387b0ee9b14ee03d8d2644b775a0ff4
5,103.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:41:03 A.M.
From: 0x007bad2B64e526693376946d740C809b7728aFB4
To: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
Tx: 0x0006007accc68966a8e995c2620f72dc78fa37232a7592866176c821a5d0101d
