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Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 10:59:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 11:00:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 51,676.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
4.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
51,335.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 51335 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
51,331.49 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006CE9c23eb44AAdbCfb62f64baf71C6B4FeA86b
Net sender
Unknown type
11,789.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net sender
Unknown type
6,510.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
4,166.17 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 4 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 51,331.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.43 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

11 transactions
341.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:54 A.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0016004df9b59ecf6b5bc63dafc903adeef27867c36a8b34788aab979e729ea4
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:54 A.M.
From: 0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0056007da60eec2bd47fd46dd4e55252873edf6e28e1b7737b69ce1bfca041c3
19,998.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a0001a55284b6c7441752a4311a1e9bc0b00775c54c5bda557534fb1a4fa7
Open txWallet profile
2,253.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00280025597547eedcff3d2e57ef06ba45ebbaae9a167899e7ea52b7a05e713b
Open txWallet profile
11,789.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x006CE9c23eb44AAdbCfb62f64baf71C6B4FeA86b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d0000a65e8811afb108702d54de241f3a37da395b8434afce50338d8f3a73
Open txWallet profile
2,143.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068002319a66fc5413eeff8078e35981dc97ba099223465d9b4579cd7e16397
Open txWallet profile
6,510.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c0041e48e4a15c9d7fa82699389656c926abe80a027d13295474c1924f164
Open txWallet profile
4,166.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054007a122a7b1498aca8d8e645159033eabacca32794f2f28f9c38c4474382
Open txWallet profile
2,055.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a00231cdd43b67197531c0e7e92855430a1795a7fab44c3559b3c427dfa1b
Open txWallet profile
2,414.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x003937E6b84285138b395682Ef46f27B81BfF31B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a0005fcd5a1598c1d698512854e201fa2ae1e3249ad61937f70d703302b5d
Open txWallet profile
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:09 A.M.
From: 0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005a000d0fc813be208a4fd60a31262922352c816b67306debf24fde7fa94cc1