Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:59:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 11:00:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 51,676.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
4.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
51,335.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 51335 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
51,331.49 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006CE9c23eb44AAdbCfb62f64baf71C6B4FeA86b
Net sender
Unknown type
11,789.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net sender
Unknown type
6,510.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
4,166.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 4 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 51,331.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
12,040 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:58:19 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
51,335.49 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:59:31 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
270.09 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:57:07 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
343.3 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:00:44 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,740.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:55:56 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
4,655.78 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:01:56 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
21,198.67 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:54:44 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
2,807.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:03:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.43 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
341.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:54 A.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0016004df9b59ecf6b5bc63dafc903adeef27867c36a8b34788aab979e729ea4
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:54 A.M.
From: 0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0056007da60eec2bd47fd46dd4e55252873edf6e28e1b7737b69ce1bfca041c3
19,998.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a0001a55284b6c7441752a4311a1e9bc0b00775c54c5bda557534fb1a4fa7
2,253.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00280025597547eedcff3d2e57ef06ba45ebbaae9a167899e7ea52b7a05e713b
11,789.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x006CE9c23eb44AAdbCfb62f64baf71C6B4FeA86b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d0000a65e8811afb108702d54de241f3a37da395b8434afce50338d8f3a73
2,143.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068002319a66fc5413eeff8078e35981dc97ba099223465d9b4579cd7e16397
6,510.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c0041e48e4a15c9d7fa82699389656c926abe80a027d13295474c1924f164
4,166.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054007a122a7b1498aca8d8e645159033eabacca32794f2f28f9c38c4474382
2,055.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a00231cdd43b67197531c0e7e92855430a1795a7fab44c3559b3c427dfa1b
2,414.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:24 A.M.
From: 0x003937E6b84285138b395682Ef46f27B81BfF31B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a0005fcd5a1598c1d698512854e201fa2ae1e3249ad61937f70d703302b5d
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:59:09 A.M.
From: 0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005a000d0fc813be208a4fd60a31262922352c816b67306debf24fde7fa94cc1
