Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:57:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,040
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
270.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 270 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
Net sender
Unknown type
40 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
270.09 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:57:07 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
2,740.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:55:56 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
12,040 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:58:19 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
21,198.67 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:54:44 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate23 tx
59,548.35 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:53:32 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
51,335.49 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:59:31 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
343.3 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:00:44 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
11,859.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:52:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:57:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:57:29 A.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Tx: 0x00480006efe8f5e34067c4a1a78d400a72c2cce9e6a2e11bf9f6b810892dadc0
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:57:29 A.M.
From: 0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0050005c412cf1705234148c974197c02cec82148160eb230ff21eaaee5b7ca4
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:57:29 A.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x004c000f4fbf720dfae7d923d8df774164c3464e328884440a78ee8a37b47a8f
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:57:29 A.M.
From: 0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x002c007655ec0462644538321ed11b4ea215ef7769c1fad1a2584fe6085b8a45