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Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 10:53:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,962.87
Unexplained QUAI: 33,585.48
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
5.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
9
39.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
59,548.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0032DaB2A4c423CeD3962B2BC43d9cC2Dd559a59.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 59548 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0032DaB2A4c423CeD3962B2BC43d9cC2Dd559a59.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,283.58 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x0032DaB2A4c423CeD3962B2BC43d9cC2Dd559a59
Net sender
Unknown type
11,790 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006CE9c23eb44AAdbCfb62f64baf71C6B4FeA86b
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,790 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 889.29 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

9 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 23. The remaining 14 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

11,790 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0032DaB2A4c423CeD3962B2BC43d9cC2Dd559a59
To: 0x006CE9c23eb44AAdbCfb62f64baf71C6B4FeA86b

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
224.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:22 A.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00410000972ebc2f652bb1c4ab0d8c79eebd59972abb280e136eb175f147223c
253.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x001b6762fD550Ab68832ebd19D78966236D6bbC0
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0046002668e1f208e373c1f0adecf0952ddee97251f292889c8d0ed73773b7a3
150.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004b0015a312abaefa0845aa8a147a09d4489244ab649558586b649d86856278
424.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004400523c40a23343b4babec4ec326650840dd858df78da9c4b291204b75e91
230.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0062000784460434d657fc44921b01c8b4fb45fe0bd0bf1851426544c0194f07
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00090057ed4cae966cdf2d358feb1230b880ac496cef215e427a42750ec3924a
889.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003003c6c267a465d8874b62cd86d39e17e2b0fc9cd353ca8b09879771c99a7
Open txWallet profile
11,790 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x0032DaB2A4c423CeD3962B2BC43d9cC2Dd559a59
To: 0x006CE9c23eb44AAdbCfb62f64baf71C6B4FeA86b
Tx: 0x000a006db155f377e39ae6a6f950144c2465a604db76a7fba7f7ab2b2a0eb9cb
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0067000f80b78463cefa78d2e88baa9117f90772370a3517c92c1a6b22e6b1c9