Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:44:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,418.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
2,418.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 2418 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,418.18 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
Net sender
Unknown type
435.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
Net sender
Unknown type
401.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
Net sender
Unknown type
397.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
Net sender
Unknown type
394.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
20,695.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:43:56 A.M.
-1 min
17 tx
5,920.76 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:42:44 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
2,418.18 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:45:07 A.M.
-2 min
25 tx
38,288.31 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:41:31 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
2,463 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:46:19 A.M.
-4 min
44 tx
38,645.52 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:40:18 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate31 tx
65,825.13 QUAI • 49 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:47:32 A.M.
-5 min
11 tx
3,237.79 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:39:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
435.71 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:44:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
397.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:44:36 A.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00450015bafdd241d1d7a2a1104abe22547e590db57803b5e595fd14ab95357b
345.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:44:36 A.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0060007fba0fbc09c6e385051ceb053fab977cbfa7f59fa72288d23e43abaaca
435.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:44:36 A.M.
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a003df1afc776733a7c71c7275288837fa18c52c30c8dc44f405ddc897746
401.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:44:36 A.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004700073386f5d921533faf402f97c02f597276aff8c523c4674e6bb2ac9105
250.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:44:36 A.M.
From: 0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002c0041277505df989ab79c225fcb93769ef3179d34d6be5dabd043b0fbd52b
394.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:44:36 A.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0075001e851829d9faf5579cad87109c996798dd7e7d1891ba8fbb868377f97c
193.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:44:36 A.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0048001ed1309c79cbb673d99917525c89637cfbe611395523f3b14456efac5a