Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:41:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
11% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,204.38
Unexplained QUAI: 34,083.94
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 14% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
25
Observable rows
11
44.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
43
Asset volume
38,288.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 38288 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (89% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (11%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,204.38 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Net sender
Unknown type
591.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
Net sender
Unknown type
551.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
Net sender
Unknown type
533.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
Net sender
Unknown type
444.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate44 tx
38,645.52 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:40:18 A.M.
+1 min
25 tx
38,288.31 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:41:31 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
3,237.79 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:39:05 A.M.
+2 min
17 tx
5,920.76 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:42:44 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
3,744.36 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:37:53 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
20,695.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:43:56 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
5,261.12 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:36:40 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
2,418.18 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:45:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
591.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
173.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:42 A.M.
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007e006bb67bdd4bf9fd86a889255875620065d72e683dd0baa3f82ffcbd3e7b
411.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000d0069d1b508bbc1437fff563c41d7a5ba71989f97dec24db5cecbae8fb4b8
301.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00290052344bc5831a2a8296a268a20394e7941555283bf4ff69e5d8a9c6abbc
591.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000f000f5aaf09d14d9ec75fb6ebfcd2d82fb881a74b669cc1306441b5a37991
257.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00470029b88a4faf00559e579563cfab03cc688da17bd40b6360e6ef42771090
533.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007a001d5e9f716c202d0d6352eae51535db65eba596efcf05135cd451fbaa41
444.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000c00584e47c551453908ca9482eec626cd0cc5c0eec06d8ba12983b569a845
436.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001a004ec76f30a73cf0e184cdf8ccd816755d4cf5fb507cf8c841339d5f5d57
320.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0037003a29b7380b7d9f12f91684210be89f1ee13d0bc15791dcc8bdd038f2b2
551.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00660015d7c5be519611d10b910afa26a999b9e58fda7df64d0ab133caea3055
183.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:41:04 A.M.
From: 0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0025004fa27905339bea2227e6ffe6f08334fdb0c0b0489571dda4885fd71eef