Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:38:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,594.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 5
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
1,594.14 QUAI
5 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1594 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,594.14 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
Net sender
Unknown type
395.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
Net sender
Unknown type
367.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Net sender
Unknown type
326.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
Net sender
Unknown type
307.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
3,744.36 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:37:53 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
5,261.12 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:36:40 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
3,237.79 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:39:05 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate44 tx
38,645.52 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:40:18 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
2,571.03 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:35:29 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,993.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:34:17 A.M.
+4 min
25 tx
38,288.31 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:41:31 A.M.
-5 min
16 tx
4,150.35 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:33:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
395.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:38:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
395.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:38:37 A.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002e004014459480666c4dca07f377a72092f1391eb44dc4575a3cfd616e2ca3
5 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:38:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: StratumX miner
0x00444527B9D59b472cAc180D47302d85dECa1957
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x004d007d16e412a86d3e575e6a3a52d1355f21069c6d1d59c55481a762aada8c
307.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00210039e4a532a53b4fddc2b22e57096c8c4aa1acd1514c0d04445855265d86
326.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f00281f11867f75b7ad247b0ad30df2a2355b5390af8153cc94e763543602
367.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004500207ec863b621c3a2a12350e1979261d18bfd7cb3c0938e20dc41f040fe
197.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0041006ae176b97ca4655f1cbe8b9d871be811ef2c5dddd36af5b7f6524074ea