Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:36:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,305.26
Unexplained QUAI: 2,955.86
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 5
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
9
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
5,261.12 QUAI
5 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 5261 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,305.26 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
Net sender
Unknown type
346.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
Net sender
Unknown type
319.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
Net sender
Unknown type
307.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001b6762fD550Ab68832ebd19D78966236D6bbC0
Net sender
Unknown type
284.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
9 tx
2,571.03 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:35:29 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
5,261.12 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:36:40 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
1,993.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:34:17 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
3,744.36 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:37:53 A.M.
-3 min
16 tx
4,150.35 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:33:05 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
3,237.79 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:39:05 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
1,293.11 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:31:53 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate44 tx
38,645.52 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:40:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
346.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
319.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:53 A.M.
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000d00184e49f5979258b4cdf3fe8a8984576780a4978515814cc959ddfb7b44
307.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:53 A.M.
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f0007872ec01c6b37117f2dae7b4efb13d27851f089edc7d423a7d6bf3b8b
203.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:20 A.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e0063df3c2a621a950194b61df9498ccfcb303a1a9487ad0b24727c27e100
222.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:20 A.M.
From: 0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005a0061d35176ddd3264f60af22b5265360fdba0c1e328dad8ac30968be0dc6
218.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:20 A.M.
From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0063005e2c9d1618d2a76d9b2f1816b8719884f57f5bb61ca71379b93c71bfd7
234.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:20 A.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0077004c05d33bd40f9c098f2d46267b2ca901507dddfae69e9a9b2c5de681dc
168.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006d006bd9491c721a254a012bd3310fe6d09fc789683b808ea609616ee197b4
284.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:20 A.M.
From: 0x001b6762fD550Ab68832ebd19D78966236D6bbC0
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002c007fcc1f2d5f2bfad7e9085d326828587f43f59e4570612c9ff6ec471406
346.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:36:20 A.M.
From: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001500486117975fd434e18017b4e25b4cebb4fdc90d16ea7520ac6520e00b73