Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:11:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 440.86
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
49x previous minute
72x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
440.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 441 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
412.54 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Net sender
Unknown type
104.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
104.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
Net sender
Unknown type
102.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Net sender
Unknown type
101.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 412.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
440.86 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:11:28 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
8.95 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:10:16 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate35 tx
902.54 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:09:04 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
6.13 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:12:40 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:07:51 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
74 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:13:52 A.M.
-4 min
52 tx
618.28 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:06:39 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
280 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:15:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
104.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:11:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
101.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:11:09 A.M.
From: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006000227ede9bad3f603b0d6fc4c811d639f7f2da9c1c93cc89f2ad599202e8
104.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:11:09 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002500324f1618403da1b206ed02bf363569cee7c4148a673ffad0dd3f848ec6
102.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:11:09 A.M.
From: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00520064f79cb15f11d091d25c0f4a2020b12416503392937543584e349ee571
104.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:11:09 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0065d26460276421109b910b1eeebee6b9ae55c6e876f1d95b97e4fe0ee1
11.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:11:09 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0024007a1db4b6d51d0fec03152effad1cb565b692ae5f85411297a305e0a894
16.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:11:09 A.M.
From: 0x0017E3674689776e735A3f8eb3425ea0094c9F12
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001b000cd27dc28b2b63c5c9c0d24303aed22ca627ef112f4806fb48afaf5531