Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 9:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 9:35:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 9:36:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,653.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
120 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 120 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 9:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1,150 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,150 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a78c034315e11b1737dF0C9D247A8878ede6A
Net sender
Unknown type
503.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
503.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 503.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
120 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:35:25 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:34:13 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:33:01 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,653.52 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:36:36 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
285.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:31:50 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
54,451 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:37:49 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:30:37 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:39:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,150 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:35:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
503.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:35:29 A.M.
From: 0x004a78c034315e11b1737dF0C9D247A8878ede6A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000400580e03d57a89548ee17581d0cba2c036929b58a30256aef5f4fa753928
1,150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:35:29 A.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x000f002fe5f9c4aacdd831eb21ce94b8d71db6c3d85055a2853fe2659e6a8387