Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 9:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 9:11:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 9:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,753.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
10
43.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
38
Asset volume
1,211.99 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1212 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 9:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,192.33 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075FbF3135a7406bBaC9E4Ab1b9c52EDb5553DA
Net sender
Unknown type
849.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,192.33 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
1,211.99 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:11:23 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:10:11 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
759.85 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:08:59 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
21,202.45 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:12:36 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
20,840.27 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:07:47 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
46,500 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:13:48 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:06:34 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
28,500 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.33 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
849.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:58 A.M.
From: 0x0075FbF3135a7406bBaC9E4Ab1b9c52EDb5553DA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d006ae6c1de39e119d566f352175191d3e7c85687fc1d6f69c30b7309bf69
109.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:58 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b000875eebbcf59437326ee86d039f39dcad4865f1ba625dfd2f95eee756c
113.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:58 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003700620ed6f10791a20f36e786adc47526dd6f01bbc5a76d5ccbfc51d529f8
121.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:58 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078002aed4d63ec7515bf85defc6c344aa0ec52cf819f69c3443956cfa932a4
19,998.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:58 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045000f6939d7bb5982304f594ed5f8b45a64d39ef04e07029018ca248814d3
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:01 A.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000a00787683192ba667867b6b8773a2b57adb138711dd20f3fd4aa154512130
16.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:01 A.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0042004f85da3654fc2efb5f1fe873a1e50e4e98ae0385c45e734ec613bb8118
13.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:01 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00430003a0df03bdbe481c1287309d92423d56f41e8bfa329d3e66d235d4648e
16.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:01 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0031007ac7f09bbcd2ddebc9a3583c2c3ee74e3ae66fa247ce54dca73f4fce9e
15.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:01 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c004494aec69a51ae7b74354b9b1be9a4afeb3fe7bb7d6cd13919bbc20599