Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 8:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 8:10:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 8:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 153.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 8:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
129.13 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
92.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.51 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
Net sender
Unknown type
13.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:10:14 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
1,752.69 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:09:02 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
456.25 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:11:26 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
434.07 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:07:49 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
8,005.6 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:06:35 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:12:38 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
8.85 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:13:50 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
74.37 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:05:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
92.41 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:10:26 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
13.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0054005046e1afa27fdc93039695304c7834eb487f083d2b7b990caf8ee6fbd2
11.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00510017ab626c54438a5de068e0e4b8260aad708aed54e19d430542e333ca2b
20.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:10:26 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x007d000e11900d8362e2de2099d77f6390c4bde86787ba46f598c450b49b0676
6.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:10:26 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x002a000f0defa0e2e9a1ea0806b97f5de1c4e3d2100b9bb13554fa85211755fc
92.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:10:26 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0048005d33bf5975fa4e5146843916050092e7c09950fefbe3ca19906fa69cf8
4.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:10:26 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x0039002b77b9a50b12b9de30ea43aca6af17ed7d556eb4fbcb31706af0625a80
4.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:10:26 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x0063001013b322caa93424c386609350ea1fe413fb62d6157f0eb925137de520