Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 8:02:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 8:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,212.74
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
4,212.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4213 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
3,812.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,519.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7
Net receiver
Unknown type
868.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Net receiver
Unknown type
425.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005D8614be84319CA0F1ac2A2A603429f50E26A8
Net sender
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
3,125.47 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:01:48 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
7,130.68 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:00:36 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
4,212.74 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:03:00 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:04:11 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
4,665.47 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:59:24 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
74.37 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:05:23 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
600 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:58:11 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
2,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:56:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,519.26 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
868.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:02:10 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7
Tx: 0x00600075e0c6f4afb2d9702e11fd03baf76d46cfb67125abe6168059231d86c4
400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.
From: 0x005D8614be84319CA0F1ac2A2A603429f50E26A8
To: 0x006752d809A00f7A1d6334FA4735C56D2CF0Fe90
Tx: 0x00160001c98db4832510827f3840ed57ca8302f93119108d8a4e1aa23e7818f7
425.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Tx: 0x002100420cbc912a3ff88b6282ed47f6bac5e710cfc001aabf208919b0556a84
2,519.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Tx: 0x00760008099049214c9509e8319c56294fa7f6c1202e06aea5d6eabda5ecf666
