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Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 7:46:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 7:46:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 7:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20
Unexplained QUAI: 42,132.37
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
2108x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
42,152.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65 • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 42152 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65 • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65 -> 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 7:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65
Net sender
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65 → 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
2 repeated flows • 20 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:29 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

2 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:29 A.M.
From: 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x0038004fa302565dd051096b059d77cc65bc1eb33f6cfd2b6509436c7c9394b2
Open txWallet profile
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:29 A.M.
From: 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x007200082b66f566369f6b9b31b89e77cfc675d0e518cf49f221563063cf255e
Open txWallet profile
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