Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 7:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 7:46:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 7:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20
Unexplained QUAI: 42,132.37
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
2108x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
42,152.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65 • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 42152 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65 • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65 -> 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 7:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65
Net sender
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65 → 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
2 repeated flows • 20 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
42,152.37 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:46:11 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:44:59 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
20 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:47:23 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:43:47 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:42:35 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19,999.11 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:48:35 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:49:47 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
20,074.97 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:41:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:29 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:29 A.M.
From: 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x0038004fa302565dd051096b059d77cc65bc1eb33f6cfd2b6509436c7c9394b2
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:29 A.M.
From: 0x003cEd155771659F99f7Ac526A8Ad317EEbd5D65
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x007200082b66f566369f6b9b31b89e77cfc675d0e518cf49f221563063cf255e
