Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 7:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 7:16:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 7:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
83% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 111.25
Unexplained QUAI: 22.88
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.7x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
134.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 134 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 7:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
111.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
134.12 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:16:13 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
201.77 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:15:01 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
55.41 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:17:25 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
3,099 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:13:50 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
646.17 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:12:37 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
155.77 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:18:37 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
3,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:19:49 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate23 tx
5,818.43 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:11:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
55.84 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:16:07 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
55.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:16:42 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x004b007ff9e26e33a2ed787fcd0f3fdfb0788cd246ecf140f031c5f75feb86c3
55.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:16:07 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Tx: 0x007a002c303b2c31271a56e100d2441b904a13bac9dbff15081e1a75e3596d33