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Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 7:07:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 7:07:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 7:08:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

43% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 4,985

Unexplained QUAI: 6,579.12

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

1.7x above local average

14x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

1.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

11,564.12 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 11564 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 09/22/2026, 7:07:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (57% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04

Net sender

Unknown type

4,985 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237

Net receiver

Unknown type

4,985 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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1 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 53. The remaining 52 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.