Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 6:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 6:58:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 6:59:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,500.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237 • 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237 • 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 6:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,500 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Net sender
Unknown type
2,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
Net sender
Unknown type
0.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:58:10 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:56:58 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
4,500.5 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:59:23 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1,500 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:55:46 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:54:35 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
7,500 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:00:35 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
300 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:01:47 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:53:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:58:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:58:58 A.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00740045d1d1300e879c17c4e2d3f5024f1bae4894591cc28e1c774aa5d7ff07
0.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:58:23 A.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0074002c3f1d13bef4f41595ffc9e31888341fbc6de2ef55872b135558bd6084
2,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:58:23 A.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x000000333cd10dc8477970e1fe2a330cac125c50519dd69868b48df6e50e1f4f