Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 6:12:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 6:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,555.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
232x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
1,555.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1555 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,515.98 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
Net sender
Unknown type
691.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
Net sender
Unknown type
231.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
Net sender
Unknown type
201.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00140382Bc5DDBa35cA720A835B607eF4720A05B
Net sender
Unknown type
148.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,515.98 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
6.69 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:11:20 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
1,555.04 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:12:32 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:10:07 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:13:44 A.M.
-3 min
48 tx
1,721.82 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:08:56 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:14:56 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate52 tx
64,395.65 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:07:41 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:16:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
691.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
9.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0019003ecb99fcb88c4ad8fb70f6d14aee655cec473bc75e9f93648b3917fd17
30 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x0056001f5375b9829a1be0f2617be6d4832a333c42ec7dea030db95d39533c43
148.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
From: 0x00140382Bc5DDBa35cA720A835B607eF4720A05B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630025322d3a9676e7f34f5f05da9bccefee410d23583107d4cef29782ea61
691.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
From: 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c002e8cf1705e14c6c639dd6a97f3a011a1a6785ed197b78d130f802ba8db
231.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049007ced274bc9d6c59ec7e513ab23d9430c57e0802ec0a5897ac862acaee5
131.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b003527e3ccc037f196b2e3d961972f743e12f5461a496c63f1d2a154c017
201.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
From: 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00070e74f87756503021de04ab417ff085934b153efd78fa593acf3580e5
111.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:12:22 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a005a9b5ddd5c5a9368355bd3ae1f1401a1443a59b427d9d2b1b0ac9f308f