Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 5:14:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 5:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 493.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
493.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 493 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
393.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Net receiver
Unknown type
339.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0002A68FFE3a43350E0B3c05781C655E6d04Fa0d
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000bfe3A3198Fb90db4E15db6B39796C23c82669
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
7,522.86 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:13:34 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
493.22 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:14:46 A.M.
-2 min
24 tx
846.28 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:12:21 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:15:58 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
254.51 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:11:08 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:17:10 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate51 tx
26,912.78 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:09:56 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
9,437.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:18:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
339.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:14:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
54.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:14:33 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000bfe3A3198Fb90db4E15db6B39796C23c82669
Tx: 0x004d0048daf5e2bef4836483641898f61979b172fd7031c8423b4cbc1b8cd29a
339.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:14:24 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Tx: 0x0023000cb5bc45e56975f5134723bfadc7d574620b5545d5422c3acae9dba302
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:14:24 A.M.
From: 0x0002A68FFE3a43350E0B3c05781C655E6d04Fa0d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0071007c915099f6eea77fb632066251df1f16f59aac15cb8767fb0ba8b39c4d