Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 5:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 5:13:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,522.86
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
8.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
7,522.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7523 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 5:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
7,161.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,083.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00313CdA0f1442FE7609c12641B4F62972a952Ae
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,077.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
341.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
Net receiver
Unknown type
341.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 7,161.02 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
24 tx
846.28 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:12:21 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
7,522.86 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:13:34 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
254.51 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:11:08 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
493.22 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:14:46 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate51 tx
26,912.78 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:09:56 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:15:58 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:08:43 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:17:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,083.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:13:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
6.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:13:16 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005e00355499e94bae51db99001dbd1a21f33d56cfbb285fb05dca61304e6d14
13.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:13:16 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x001d003a7a9e5b31e7668f58be17f5561869ec5beecee723c50ad1151372c738
2,077.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:13:16 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00313CdA0f1442FE7609c12641B4F62972a952Ae
Tx: 0x005b003541ce26eda6aea45fdcf600c4142f50a27a28938ade9cb96d9ce216bb
5,083.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:13:16 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Tx: 0x00020077c36317b5353d2b3e9449ff5f2e489a10b3a5f8b38d47c73286780b30
341.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:13:08 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
Tx: 0x003100693f4618f697ebf8ac1d652a5bbac5ebdb13c5e224beedb43ef09e1142