Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 5:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 5:10:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 5:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 254.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
254.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 255 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 5:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Net sender
Unknown type
112.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00313CdA0f1442FE7609c12641B4F62972a952Ae
Net receiver
Unknown type
96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
45.85 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 96 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
26,912.78 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:09:56 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:08:43 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
254.51 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:11:08 A.M.
-2 min
51 tx
576.67 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:07:31 A.M.
+2 min
24 tx
846.28 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:12:21 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:06:19 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
7,522.86 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:13:34 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
1,232.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:05:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
112.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:10:59 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
112.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00500007b1f5c089adf1bc362352d43b0d96eb58585c06ed25d296703979c36a
16.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004d0023f4f1d84291c295a29bb46aec14ecb54260b35b5116a7a6ce0b2d141a
13.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003c004af4b7eb026238676c0ab4928aa895bad3ec3bf75786cbff6cdba46bcf
15.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:10:59 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0041006f323848c1c417f51c84051ba86baa7de111ca7d70e9bc3296ba54da90
96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 5:10:12 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00313CdA0f1442FE7609c12641B4F62972a952Ae
Tx: 0x002e00307a972f5a4877ce02eb27de7d7212049a73f999a9f44b803b49cd2141
