Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:41:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
21% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,750
Unexplained QUAI: 13,955.6
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 34
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.2x previous minute
4.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
1
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
17,705.6 QUAI
34 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 17706 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.
Top actors in this event
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
3,750 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,750 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
17,705.6 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:41:02 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
99,656.2 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:39:50 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
3,750 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:42:15 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3,040.59 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:38:37 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
62,018.1 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:43:27 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:37:24 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
20,220.41 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:44:39 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
20.49 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:36:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,750 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:41:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
3,750 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:41:12 A.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00270004e91f7f33e996fe3b9d0181c391982641c9188a908b4686c8708e5e06