Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:40:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,705.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 34
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
4.5x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
13,705.6 QUAI
34 QI
Avg confidence
71.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 13706 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net sender
Unknown type
12,665.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,665.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,040.11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
Net sender
Unknown type
598.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f67c884920007be348B4822f66D4Eaa13D83D
Net sender
Unknown type
441.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
99,656.2 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:39:50 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
3,040.59 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:38:37 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
17,705.6 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:41:02 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3,750 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:42:15 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:37:24 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
62,018.1 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:43:27 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
20.49 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:36:12 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
12,667 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:35:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
12,665.48 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:40:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
441.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:40:58 A.M.
From: 0x002f67c884920007be348B4822f66D4Eaa13D83D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00150012880aa3fad1340cf3c626dc5ea6748a5e44f099e4337c8cb4aee2b1b5
12,665.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:40:58 A.M.
From: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x002b000ad1c727594a5ea0426cec17e7a41494aa903de7c21da9dd45caf3242c
34 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:40:28 A.M.
From: 0x002b2596EcF05C93a31ff916E8b456DF6C77c750
To: 0x00c8427b2D178215aD37f59Ee951b5E765F439F8
Tx: 0x006700d4157202cb44845a6302a7cf3f03a9a8193e6e6486ba5b75176da3c8b7
598.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:40:05 A.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0029007112d00120301b46f512b482b05a0db8362512496de8306d17f5fcf0de