Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:39:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 103,656.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
99,656.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 99656 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
MEXC hot wallet -> 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
89,992 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
89,992 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net sender
Unknown type
7,956.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,956.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048C91d99De752DFA41703f75dBCb18c0aaCdA8
Net sender
Unknown type
4,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
MEXC hot wallet → 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
2 repeated flows • 89,992 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 89,992 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
3,040.59 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:38:37 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
99,656.2 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:39:50 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:37:24 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
17,705.6 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:41:02 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
20.49 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:36:12 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
3,750 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:42:15 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
12,667 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:35:01 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
62,018.1 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:43:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
59,996 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:39:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
4,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:39:51 A.M.
From: 0x0048C91d99De752DFA41703f75dBCb18c0aaCdA8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007900238f448d8f03a4afce40c238c5489b84f7cd89fb8de596a973e2b5fdec
832.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:39:40 A.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0002005bb1d01bb10a9fe29cd1709418640a3266e37f07a24a624e81b7111948
328.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:39:40 A.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004700799ef70ba37b0318d2f136378b5ab1a4bb2ad2a83cf549d33fa8c1e35f
546.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:39:40 A.M.
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00790020d2808617902be6cd4b1c27d9c5b42fd2eef42ed5fc3cab9569e64938
29,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:39:28 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x0065001d9a7ccf4a618c512012b6159aa7ed69f6a7d424ea671155f727aa92dc
59,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:39:28 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x00600063671b0284c4084f655dc80dfcffb399aa1f25e43fd93ce879bd9e67d3
7,956.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006c002c4cdbd4c90d44da07efbf6b02b884165fe344aae02b84579ee119256c