Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:21:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,394.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 86% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
16,394.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 16395 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665 -> 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net sender
Unknown type
14,064.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,064.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,330.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
Net sender
Unknown type
330.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665 → 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
2 repeated flows • 2,000 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
8,215.98 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:20:38 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
16,394.52 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:21:50 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:19:25 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:23:02 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:18:13 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:24:14 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
14,065.63 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:17:01 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
7,974.95 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:25:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,064.19 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:21:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
14,064.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:21:34 A.M.
From: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x007c0012f73dd20ad07754774d2e0e9fd41bbfcdc54948965da6685cf7b5dbe2
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:21:34 A.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00190074d5b4f4f1d0ac59cd49dfb7f96a264461ff88908175328c6c3e637416
330.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:21:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x004500478d198d041b4e082fe7b844619d6b6798cd8f925d5b1aca549c86c5bc
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:21:03 A.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00270079cbadf9439411987ab8b69a86d577be644a446b529c7c023134f8297f