Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:14:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,866.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
4,426.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 4426 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
11,669.45 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214
Net sender
Unknown type
10,999.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
Net sender
Unknown type
197.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
197.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
135.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 11,669.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
11,437.7 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:13:24 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
4,426.07 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:14:37 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
1,135.41 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:12:13 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
11,866.69 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:15:49 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
310.3 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:11:01 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
14,065.63 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:17:01 A.M.
-4 min
50 tx
1,048.98 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:09:49 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:18:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,999.26 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
197.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x004a000af20ebcce508c7bae84daf1bfe1cae04c3401d3f9d027ab291e44ca42
10,999.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f002dc1a3f472b00bbe8431011a45bfdef1edcf0a7ccd9ed68f86183348a5
135.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034007cc1e5bb0d24679161e9cc8233e56c88b7a5378764011259dc20214830
101.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f000fa0ec8c590ad56a7cabf4fe483689f4d08e65d2435145cdf4e926faa2
100.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017001a4b7927c8fd783dd0d03be28293a04471ac4fe8ffac6c7a11e4516dca
102.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071006ac51a10c2d6fcf797b11628fbafcb9c903ffb27f46a74910c0b52a977
127.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b006b04d3bc130286fa0ccf1e43f079e4af3b2f564c136bce263353dda16d
102.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d0018a790257bbc08b2a4ba55d0a61a01189dadbb548b2d5661124d47e8e6