Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:50:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 445.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
445.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 445 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
445.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
Net sender
Unknown type
309.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
Net sender
Unknown type
135.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
445.25 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:50:29 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
2,449.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:49:17 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:48:05 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:51:41 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
5,302.29 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:46:54 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:52:54 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,573.22 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:45:42 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
131.75 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:54:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
309.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:50:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
309.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:50:07 A.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x002a001177fd102cdc8a3f122d8f34fba9abde1c0fec88b10570b063e51cfc19
135.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:50:07 A.M.
From: 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x003800457793fad61f11a3115719a03e51fed87f3c75b75b312fd9e6dbe9c077