Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:42:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:43:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
76% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,895.04
Unexplained QUAI: 589.67
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
2,484.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf • 0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2485 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf • 0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (24% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
Net sender
Unknown type
1,574 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,574 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
Net sender
Unknown type
321.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
321.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,484.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:42:06 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
5,328.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:40:53 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,895.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:43:17 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate5 tx
35,900.67 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:39:41 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
32,336.24 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:44:30 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
30,894.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:38:29 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,573.22 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:45:42 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
352 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:37:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,574 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:42:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
To: 0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,574 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:42:43 A.M.
From: 0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
To: 0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf
Tx: 0x006f005064724c2e6e29392bab59f824071d5d0adac28dd2ba81cf424ebc37ab
321.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:42:27 A.M.
From: 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0026006f0e02a03c04603c3eabdfca65a6ccde734c0fc1aa410c481cd0a57074
