Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:39:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,900.67
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
35,900.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 35901 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,803.05 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Net sender
Unknown type
13,744.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,744.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,067.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,803.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
30,894.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:38:29 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
35,900.67 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:39:41 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
352 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:37:16 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
5,328.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:40:53 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
313.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:36:03 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,484.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:42:06 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:34:52 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,895.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:43:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.34 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:39:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
353.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:39:24 A.M.
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0063007479047890a7eeaa96f756b48852cd322be877d675ded3bcccd5a3e2c1
737.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a00561b294c74a07bf40d6e7617cdf81926337338670639c45e44391a6ddc
19,998.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00680026c4020d76a5cabd6732329ca4564191c3bae4122535ccfd1224fee4ce
1,067.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a00122eeaa008c490e440a530dc5612698f40975e2a3c018cc6321f3b6dd0
13,744.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:39:06 A.M.
From: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000e00111d893fb2703b4af135a759352d83bbda1af855ea819b6d38e0ebd7c3