Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:38:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30,894.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 3
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
88x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
30,894.03 QUAI
3 QI
Avg confidence
71.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 30894 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
23,236.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,236.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Net sender
Unknown type
7,587.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,587.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006bBB685B1DD695Fd6428e07Cf78ddb3dCB1D08
Net sender
Unknown type
70 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 23,236.42 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
30,894.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:38:29 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
352 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:37:16 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
313.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:36:03 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
35,900.67 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:39:41 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:34:52 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
5,328.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:40:53 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
35,551.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:33:40 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
2,484.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:42:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,236.42 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:38:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:38:26 A.M.
From: 0x002b2596EcF05C93a31ff916E8b456DF6C77c750
To: 0x00e8f00B2703117022935F115d15c8eB68D89173
Tx: 0x006400def30c30445572b19e821c06ddc6f051703fd982246cca9a6dabcdb968
70 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:38:24 A.M.
From: 0x006bBB685B1DD695Fd6428e07Cf78ddb3dCB1D08
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006f00440dda84ec20579f1fc427945b25823d9c7fd4096bbf68912b4eb83903
23,236.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:38:24 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Tx: 0x00660045a8d1923647f21c7239676063cbc4705b7ff96fa502c74fff46c9c4a0
7,587.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:38:03 A.M.
From: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x001700528c4d72d5a42b674b3f59ef24d62acef3ffb5f1f8e2468800318dc6c1