Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:33:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,552.19
Unexplained QUAI: 19,999.07
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
5.7x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
35,551.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 35551 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
13,746 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,746 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,806.19 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,068.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net receiver
Unknown type
738.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 13,746 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
13,024.89 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:32:28 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
35,551.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:33:40 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
142.46 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:31:15 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:34:52 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:30:03 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
313.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:36:03 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
164.71 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:28:51 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
352 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:37:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,746 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:33:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
13,746 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:33:04 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Tx: 0x001f000af330f29cff71d1c56837b6484169b06536bd1ef57823837ae639846d
738.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:33:04 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Tx: 0x00080066cef5069103034171a829c1d12635f9f653139e0b220a5b5b8f65dbb5
1,068.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:33:04 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Tx: 0x00460070ef26005f7d11f0f8bb6f6fb0366af31d1773ea5930e754726840a40e